ETHIOPIA: THE MARCH ON MEKELLE AND THE NEXT TWO WEEKS OF THE TIGRAY WAR

ETHIOPIA: THE MARCH ON MEKELLE AND THE NEXT TWO WEEKS OF THE TIGRAY WAR

   Thu, 19 November 2020

Following a two-week offensive in Tigray, Ethiopian federal forces and allied militias are marching on Tigray’s regional capital. Ethiopia boldly claims it can capture Mekelle in two weeks and end the war, which does not consider the complexities of the conflict. EXX Africa has drawn up a scenario analysis of conflict outcomes for the next two weeks and beyond, based on probability assessments and commercial implications, while informed by exclusive local intelligence from the war zone.



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