Thu, 11 February 2021
Powerful eastern leaders have been omitted from Libya’s new transitional leadership and a relatively weak new interim president will depend on armed factions and kingmakers to ensure compliance with the UN-brokered roadmap toward elections at the end of this year. However, so far, the ceasefire is holding, and the threat of further significant oil sector blockades is receding. Regardless, the success of the peace process ultimately depends on external parties, rather than Libya’s rival factions.
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