Tue, 09 May 2023
Mali’s military junta hopes to pass a constitutional referendum next month to keep a transition timeline agreed with ECOWAS firmly on track and avoid any further regional and western sanctions. However, political and religious opposition to the draft constitution is building up, apart from obvious insecurity challenges in holding the vote. If the referendum fails, the junta may seek to extend the timeline, which ECOWAS might initially support to maintain the buoyant gold export sector. Meanwhile, Islamist militant groups are fast gaining new territory as European forces withdraw and the UN peacekeeping mission remains under pressure.
Pangea-Risk Insight is a specialist intelligence membership platform that delivers accurate, decision-ready, and commercially relevant forecasts and analysis on political, security, and economic risk in Africa and the Middle East to a wide-ranging spread of client sectors.
All country risk analysis is supported by local source intelligence and driven by proprietary risk methodology presented on a cost-effective, centralised, and user-friendly platform.