SPECIAL REPORT: EGYPT – ETHIOPIA WAR SCENARIOS OVER DISPUTED BLUE NILE DAM

   Thu, 10 June 2021

Ahead of the second filling schedule of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in July, opponents of Africa’s largest hydropower dam project are running out of options for a mediated solution to a Blue Nile water rights dispute. The prospect of military strike action on the dam by Egypt, Sudan, and proxy forces remains unlikely but is becoming increasingly probable. PANGEA-RISK assesses the military capability and tactical options at hand in case a mediated resolution fails in coming months.