SUDAN: FRAGILE POWER-SHARING DEAL WILL BRING SHORT-TERM PAUSE IN VIOLENCE

SUDAN: FRAGILE POWER-SHARING DEAL WILL BRING SHORT-TERM PAUSE IN VIOLENCE

   Thu, 18 July 2019

The power-sharing agreement will lower the risk of protests and violence for the first time in seven months, while commercial activity is set to resume, and normal diplomatic relations will be restored. However, the military is set to remain in charge of the transition at least for the next two years, while rival security forces and state-sponsored militia groups will seek to cut out lucrative economic assets to sponsor their re-armaments. Despite an initial lull in violence and political instability, the risk of civil war will remain high in the three-year outlook.



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